Path: Top -> Journal -> Jurnal Internasional -> King Saud University -> 2020 -> Volume 32, Issue 3, March
A hybridized ELM-Jaya forecasting model for currency exchange prediction
Oleh : Smruti Rekha Das, Debahuti Mishra, Minakhi Rout, King Saud University
Dibuat : 2020-03-30, dengan 1 file
Keyword : Currency exchange prediction, Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), JayaNeural Network (NN), Functional Link Artificial Neural Network (FLANN)
Url : http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S131915781730160X
Sumber pengambilan dokumen : Web
This paper establishes a hybridized intelligent machine learning based currency exchange forecasting model using Extreme Learning Machines (ELMs) and the Jaya optimization technique. This model can very well forecast the exchange price of USD (US Dollar) to INR (Indian Rupee) and USD to EURO based on statistical measures, technical indicators and combination of both measures over a time frame varying from 1 day to 1 month ahead. The proposed ELM-Jaya model has been compared with existing optimized Neural Network and Functional Link Artificial Neural Network based predictive models. Finally, the model has been validated using various performance measures such as; MAPE, Theil's U, ARV and MAE. The comparison of different features demonstrates that the technical indicators outperform both the statistical measures and a combination of statistical measures and technical indicators in ELM-Jaya forecasting model.
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