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Economic determinants of free trade agreements
Oleh : Scott L. Baier , Jeffrey H. Bergstrand, ELSEVIER (bergstrand.1@nd.edu (J.H. Bergstrand).)
Dibuat : 2010-06-29, dengan 1 file
Keyword : Economic, determinants, free, trade, agreements
Url : http://www.elsevier.com/locate/econbase
The purpose of this study is to provide the first systematic empirical analysis of the economic
determinants of the formation of free trade agreements (FTAs) and of the likelihood of FTAs between
pairs of countries using a qualitative choice model. We develop this econometric model based upon a
general equilibrium model of world trade with two factors of production, two monopolistically-
competitive product markets, and explicit intercontinental and intracontinental transportation costs
among multiple countries on multiple continents. The empirical model correctly predicts, based
solely upon economic characteristics, 85% of the 286 FTAs existing in 1996 among 1431 pairs of
countries and 97% of the remaining 1145 pairs with no FTAs.
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